Do shocks to electricity consumption revert to its equilibrium? Evidence from Indian states

Akram, Vaseem and Sahoo, Pradipta Kumar and Jangam, Bhushan Praveen (2019) Do shocks to electricity consumption revert to its equilibrium? Evidence from Indian states. Utilities Policy, 61. p. 100977. ISSN 09571787

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Abstract

This study investigates the stationary properties of electricity consumption at the aggregate and user-group levels (agricultural, industrial, commercial, domestic, and miscellaneous) for 18 Indian states over the period 1971-72 to 2015–16. Our analysis employs the two-step Lagrange Multiplier (LM) and the three-step Residual Augmented Least Square Lagrange Multiplier (RALS-LM) unit root tests. The results obtained suggest evidence of stationarity at aggregate and user groups in most states. The findings infer that shocks to electricity consumption in the Indian states have only a temporary effect. These results suggest that electricity demand can be modelled for forecasting and policymaking.

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