Bal, D P and Rath, Badri Narayan
(2014)
Public debt and economic growth in India: A reassessment.
Economic Analysis and Policy, 44 (3).
pp. 292-300.
ISSN 0313-5926
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Abstract
This paper examines the effect of public debt on economic growth in India between 1980 and 2011. Using the autoregressive distributed lag ARDL model, the paper traces a long-run equilibrium relationship between public debt and economic growth. The error correction model (ECM) results show that central government debt, total factor productivity (TFP) growth, and debt-services are affecting the economic growth in the short-run, and that the results are consistent with our a priori expectation. It is recommended that the government should follow the objective of inter-generational equity in fiscal management over the long term in order to stabilize debt-GDP ratio, particularly, after the global financial crisis.
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