Nonlinear causality between crude oil price and exchange rate: A comparative study of China and India - A Reassessment

Bal, Debi Prasad and Rath, Badri Narayan (2019) Nonlinear causality between crude oil price and exchange rate: A comparative study of China and India - A Reassessment. Economics Bulletin, 39 (1). pp. 1-14.

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Abstract

De Vita and Trachanas's (hereafter DV-T, 2016) paper published in (Energy Economics, Volume 56, May 2016, pages, 150-160) criticizes Bal and Rath's paper (Energy Economics, Volume 51, September 2015, pages, 149-156) (hereafter, BR, 2015) by undertaking a ‘pure replication' and a ‘reanalysis' using (BR, 2015) data set. The aim of this paper is to reassess (BR, 2015) by providing comments and additional evidence. We revisit (BR, 2015) with the aim of applying additional unit root, cointegration and nonlinear causality tests. The results derived from these supplementary tests clearly reveal that the oil price series is non-stationary at level. The bivariate noisy Mackey-Glass model proposed by Kyrtsou and Terraza (2003) reveals bi-directional non-linear causality exists between real oil price and exchange rate in case of China, whereas for India, only unidirectional nonlinear causality running from oil price to exchange rate.

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IITH Creators:	IITH Creators ORCiD Rath, Badri Narayan http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7211-0952
Item Type:	Article
Subjects:	Social sciences > Political Science & Economics
Divisions:	Department of Liberal Arts
Depositing User:	Team Library
Date Deposited:	26 Mar 2019 11:25
Last Modified:	26 Mar 2019 11:25
URI:	http://raiithold.iith.ac.in/id/eprint/4907
Publisher URL:
Related URLs:	Google Scholar

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